Evidence for repeated re‐activation of old landslides under forest     

M. Van Den Eeckhaut  B. Muys  K. Van Loy  J. Poesen  H. Beeckman 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2009,34(3):352-365

Local reactivations of landslides in forests are rarely reported in landslide catalogues. The occurrence of hillslope sections with fresh morphological landslide features in forested old, deep‐seated landslides, however, suggests that landslide reactivations are not restricted to residential areas. In this study, a dendrogeomorphological analysis of beech stands was used to investigate the periods of reactivation of a deep‐seated rotational slide in the Koppenberg forest (Flemish Ardennes, Belgium). The relation to rainfall and the correspondence to landslide reactivations reported in a nearby built‐up area were also analysed. A dendrometrical study preceding the dendrochronological analysis proved that, compared with the nearby reference site, trees on the Koppenberg forest landslide site were significantly more inclined and showed more knees, indicating that the landslide site has not stabilized yet. As the sampled trees are younger than the landslide, dendrochronology did not allow determination of the year in which the landslide was initiated, but analysis of two different tree ring width parameters (i.e. ring eccentricity and growth change) calculated for trees sampled on the Koppenberg landslide and the reference site proved to be of great help in determining the temporal sequence of landslide reactivation. During the past 80 years, several periods indicative of local reactivations (i.e. 1943–1945, 1949–1952, 1967–1970, 1972–1977, 1979–1981, 1988–1997) were found within the investigated landslide, but delineation of the spatial extent of the reactivations during these indicative periods was not straightforward. These periods generally correspond to years with above‐average rainfall. Finally, the fact that at least 34% of the years indicative of reactivation of the Koppenberg forest landslide correspond to a year in which a landslide reactivation was reported in the Flemish Ardennes suggests that in built‐up areas, apart from anthropogenic interventions, natural triggering factors remain very important. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

灾害风险科学与灾害易损性研究实践     

林捷  崔秋文 《国际地震动态》2010,(9):33-36

在收集、整理和编译国外有关论坛和研讨会资料的基础上,给出了目前国际风险科学研究的动态,综述了地震灾害风险评估和减轻地震易损性方面的研究进展,介绍了目前有关国家的地震灾害风险减轻的理论研究和减灾计划与行动。  相似文献   

Energy losses in compound open channels     

S. Proust  D. Bousmar  N. Rivière  A. Paquier  Y. Zech 《Advances in water resources》2010

This paper investigates energy losses in compound channel under non-uniform flow conditions. Using the first law of thermodynamics, the concepts of energy loss and head loss are first distinguished. They are found to be different within one sub-section (main channel or floodplain). Experimental measurements of the head within the main channel and the floodplain are then analyzed for geometries with constant or variable channel width. Results show that head loss differs from one sub-section to another: the classical 1D hypothesis of unique head loss gradient appears to be erroneous. Using a model that couple 1D momentum equations, called “Independent Sub-sections Method (ISM)”, head losses are resolved. The relative weights of head losses related to bed friction, turbulent exchanges and mass transfers between sub-sections are estimated. It is shown that water level and the discharge distribution across the channel are influenced by turbulent exchanges for (a) developing flows in straight channels, but only when the flow tends to uniformity; (b) flows in skewed floodplains and symmetrical converging floodplains for small relative flow depth; (c) flows in symmetrical diverging floodplains for small and medium relative depth. Flow parameters are influenced by the momentum flux due to mass exchanges in all non-prismatic geometries for small and medium relative depth, while this flux is negligible for developing flows in straight geometry. The role of an explicit modeling of mass conservation between sub-sections is eventually investigated.  相似文献   

新疆防震减灾中心通讯网络系统集成与应用          下载免费PDF全文

史勇军  陈述新 《地震工程学报》2010,32(4):399-404

根据新疆防震减灾中心信息网络平台建设实际需求和设计要求,对中心的通信网络、传输信道等资源进行了整体优化集成设计。系统集成实施后信息网络平台传输可靠、性能稳定,达到了在速率、技术、资金等方面的优化,提高了网络系统运行的安全性和稳定性。  相似文献   

江西省婺源县地质灾害现状与形成机制研究     

张爱华 《火山地质与矿产》2010,(3):221-229

婺源县是具有悠久历史的古县,也是江西省著名的旅游胜地。本文对其地质灾害现状与形成机制作了深入研究,为有计划地开展地质灾害防治,减少灾害损失,保护人民生命财产安全提供了技术依据。  相似文献   

城市避震疏散能力评价方法研究     

管友海  高惠瑛  王耀 《世界地震工程》2010,26(4)

综合考虑人口、建筑、绿地、道路、疏散场所和重大危险源等各类影响因素,提出了街区疏散能力综合评价指数CEIEC,用层次分析法(AHP)通过各因素权重,对街区避震疏散能力进行了量化表达,能够给出各研究单元的避震疏散能力的相对水平,从而对城市社区避震疏散能力进行综合评价。本方法有利于揭示城市内避震疏散的薄弱环节,对城市规划等部门的工作,尤其对城市防灾规划的编制具有明显的指导性意义。  相似文献   

2009年世界地震活动性和地震灾情概要   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李卫平  赵荣国 《国际地震动态》2010,(5):38-42

2009年地震频度较高,强度较低;地震灾情一般较轻,较重的地区一是印度尼西亚地区,其次是意大利地区。  相似文献   

Component correlations in structure‐specific seismic loss estimation     

Brendon A. Bradley  Dominic S. Lee 《地震工程与结构动力学》2010,39(3):237-258

This paper addresses correlations between multiple components in structure‐specific seismic loss estimation. To date, the consideration of such correlations has been limited by methodological tractability, increased computational demand, and a paucity of data for their computation. The effect of component correlations, which arises in various forms, is however a significant factor affecting the results of structure‐specific seismic loss estimation and therefore it is prudent that adequate consideration be given to their effect. This paper provides the details of a tractable and computationally efficient seismic loss estimation methodology in which correlations can be considered. Methods to determine the necessary correlations are discussed, particularly those that can be used in the absence of sufficient empirical data, for which values are suggested based on the judgement. The effects of various assumptions regarding correlations are illustrated via application to a case‐study office structure. It is observed that certain correlation assumptions can lead to errors in excess of 50% in the lognormal standard deviation in the loss given intensity and loss hazard relationships, while full consideration of partial correlations is 50 times more computationally expensive than other assumptions. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

历史地震参数校订方法探讨——以北京延庆公元294年地震为例   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

王健  吴宣  高阿甲  陈鲲  邵磊 《地震学报》2010,32(1):108-117

随着应用、研究的广泛和深入,对历史地震参数精度有了更高的要求.因此,有必要探讨历史地震参数校订的新思路和新方法.公元294年(晋惠帝元康四年)记载了北京延庆的一次强震事件.由于年代久远,史料简略,对史料的理解及对此次地震的参数存在分歧.通过系统收集、整理原有研究成果,详细分析其异同,并通过细读原始资料,实地考察以及定量分析1970年以来的中小地震时空分布特征与强震的关系等多个方面,对此次地震参数进行了校订.校订后的结果是:地震名称应为北京延庆海坨山地震,发震时间为公元294年9月,震级为6级,震中位置为115.85°E、40.59°N,震中误差为Ⅱ类.并以此为例,探讨了历史地震参数校订的一般原则和方法.  相似文献   

城镇防沙的理论框架与技术模式   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

邹学勇  张春来  吴晓旭  石莎  钱江  王仁德 《中国沙漠》2010,30(1):8-25

城镇防沙是在国家需求推动下产生的新领域,在没有形成自身理论体系的情况下,只能以风沙物理学、治沙工程学、恢复生态学,以及沙漠化防治和可持续发展等相关理论与技术为基础,通过工程实践和理论研究逐步建立城镇防沙理论体系。初步总结出的城镇防沙理论体系包括风沙灾害成因与区域风沙流场特征、城镇周边土地利用空间格局优化、防沙工程体系优化配置、防沙工程效率评估与预测4个分支领域,14项主要研究内容和9个支撑学科;技术体系包括8个分支技术领域和一个总目标（即:城镇防沙技术优化模式）。除青藏高原外的城镇防沙技术模式具有圈层结构特征,第一圈层都是以市（镇）区为核心的绿化景观带。对于地处半湿润风沙区外缘的城镇,第二圈层为高效农牧业生产区,第三圈层为生态涵养圈,第四圈层为封禁保护圈。对于半湿润风沙区内部的城镇,第二圈层为农牧业生产与沙丘封禁区,第三圈层为封禁保护圈。对于半干旱风沙区城镇,第二圈层为沙丘（地）封禁与农牧业生产区,分为近郊设施农业圈、远郊沙丘（地）封禁与农牧户独立生产圈两个次级圈层,第三圈层为沙丘（地）封禁保护圈。对于干旱风沙区城镇,第二圈层为节水灌溉农业区,第三圈层为外围防护带,第四圈层为封禁保护带。对于地处青藏高原山间盆地的城镇,防沙工程一般采取近郊“防护林带+人工草地+灌溉系统”,外层为“沙障+防护林带+人工草地+灌溉系统”,再外层为“防护林带+草地改良+封禁保护”的布局模式。对于地处青藏高原河流宽谷的城镇,防沙工程技术模式在宏观上根据河道走向布局,局部充分考虑防沙治沙与河道整治、水土流失和地质灾害治理有机结合,细节上依据沙尘源地类型和分布地貌位置选择防沙技术。  相似文献